Champions League predictions: Betting tips and odds for Tuesday's ...

3 Oct 2023

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We've made four Champions League predictions to consider betting on ahead of Tuesday's fixtures

Matthew Glazier

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Football Writer

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4 hours ago

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Elsewhere, we’re expecting Arsenal to have things easier. The Gunners are clear favourites for their trip to Lens, while Napoli have a mouth-watering clash against Real Madrid.

Below you'll find our reasoning for the four picks we've landed on for Tuesday's UCL fixtures.

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PSV to beat Sevilla 

Don’t read too much into PSV’s 4-0 defeat at the Emirates last month. The Dutch side might have played into Arsenal’s hands with their tactics but we expect a different story when Peter Bosz’s side clash with an off-colour Sevilla team. 

Eindhoven are strong in front of their own fans and they’ve won all seven matches in the Eredivisie this term, scoring a massive 23 goals while conceding just two. 

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Conversely, their Spanish opponents – who drew 1-1 with Lens in their first group game – have lost four out of seven domestically and they are stationed 14th in the LaLiga standings. 

Football betting sites expect a home win and we’re on board with that. 

Napoli vs Real Madrid Over 2.5 Goals 

It’s difficult to call a winner at the Diego Maradona Stadium on Tuesday night, with both teams having scored late goals to land respective victories over Braga and Union Berlin in the first round of fixtures. 

Napoli have found it hard to follow up last season’s blistering domestic form but they are capable of scoring goals, especially in front of their own fans. 

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Rudi Garcia’s side have scored four in successive clashes against Udinese and Lecce, with Victor Osimhen coming off the bench to find the net against the latter.

Real Madrid are also capable of ensuring three goals or more being scored in this match, with Los Blancos boasting the prolific Jude Bellingham who helped the team to a 3-0 victory away to Girona on Saturday. 

Manchester United vs Galatasaray – Galatasaray +1.5

Manchester United need any kind of win against Galatasaray on Tuesday night but this is something of a tricky fixture against unpredictable opponents. 

Although the Turkish side only drew 2-2 with FC Copenhagen in their opening group game, they played their Danish opponents off the park before having to rally from two goals down.

Wilfried Zaha could line up against his former club and we’re happy to side with Galatasaray on the handicap, with a +1.5 goal start meaning this bet would still win if they lost by a single goal. 

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Considering United squeaked past Burnley at Turf Moor before losing 1-0 at home to Crystal Palace at the weekend, this is a bet with logic and form behind it.

United are short on goals right now and they also have defensive concerns, with Lisandro Martinez and Luke Shaw absent. The balance of the team isn’t quite right at the moment and we expect this clash to be a good deal tighter than the odds suggest. 

Lens vs Arsenal – Arsenal win + BTTS No 

Arsenal are warm favourites to build on their winning start in the Champions League but punters may not fancy the short odds of 4/7 offered by UK betting sites. 

Mikel Arteta’s side began the group stage with a bloodless win against PSV and they should limit a Lens side who have started the season slowly.

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The Ligue 1 outfit are in a lowly 15th position in the French top tier, with a slight upturn in domestic form not masking over a lack of goals. 

Last month, they failed to find the net against Monaco and Metz in consecutive clashes, and they registered only two shots on target in last Friday’s 1-0 victory away to Strasbourg.

We expect Arsenal to win without conceding, something they have managed to do on the road at Crystal Palace, Brentford, Everton and Bournemouth already this season.

Matthew Glazier @matthew_glazier

Matthew Glazier is a seasoned veteran of the online betting industry, having cut his teeth at Sporting Index before a spell at Betfair. He was also Head of Marketing at bet365 for several years. Matthew provides betting and gaming advice for The Independent.

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