Leaving Cert results 2024: Most students' grades inflated to match ...

21 day ago
Almost 61,000 Leaving Certificate students across Ireland will receive their results online from 10am at examinations.ieMost grades (68 per cent) have been increased to match the record high levels of recent years, following a direction from the Minister for Education to keep grades at this levelStrong grades mean there has been an avalanche of bonus points in maths, so competition will be likely be fierce competition for many college places when CAO results issue on WednesdayOur subject-by-subject guide shows where grades are up and down this yearQueries? The Irish Times exam helpdesk - staffed by our team of guidance counsellors - is available from midday to answer all your questions about results, deferrals, appeals and moreUse our CAO calculator to tot up your total points, or brush up on key dates for the results, appeals and CAO offers and deadlines

Leaving Cert results 2024 - Figure 1
Photo The Irish Times
Irish Times live helpdesk

Irish Times live helpdesk: opens at midday

Our helpdesk, staffed by a team of guidance counsellors, will be online from midday on Friday to answer queries from students and their parents about their results, or about CAO offers, which will be issued next Wednesday.

If you have any questions, you can send them in now.

The helpdesk will be open at the following times:

Friday 23rd August 12pm to 8pmSaturday 24th August 10am to 5pmSunday 25th August 10am to 12pmWednesday 28th August 1pm to 8pmThursday 29th August 12pm to 8pmFriday 30th August 10am to 1pm

File photograph of Leaving Certificate scripts at the State Examinations Commission headquarters in Athlone. Photograph: Alan Betson

How, exactly, were grades artificially increased?

Students receiving their results from 10am this morning may be pleasantly surprised to see how well they have done.

All grades have been artificially boosted by 7.5 per cent which, in turn, has increased more than two thirds of grades.

Leaving Cert results 2024 - Figure 2
Photo The Irish Times

This is down a direction from the Minister for Education Norma Foley, who told the State Examinations Commission (SEC) to ensure this year’s Leaving Cert result are kept at the same high levels of 2021-2023.

We’ve covered why she did this in earlier posts - but how was it achieved, exactly?

All 2024 Leaving Cert students were marked as normal.

Once this was completed, experts examined the attainment gap between this year and last year’s results.

It required grades to be adjusted upwards by an average of 7.5 per cent over recent weeks.

The range of upward adjustment for individual grades varied from between 12.1 per cent for those at the bottom of the scale to 4.8 per cent at the top.

(This is called a “linear adjustment” which authorities say its the most appropriate way to adjust results given that the attainment gap in the results is more pronounced at the lower end of grade distributions).

This resulted in 68 per cent of students’ grades, overall, increasing.

Leaving Cert results 2024 - Figure 3
Photo The Irish Times

Educational Testing Services were contracted to support the SEC in designing and implementing this post-marking adjustment. Additionally, a separate contract was awarded Trinity College Dublin to undertake quality assurance checks on the work.

Minister for Education Norma Foley. Photograph: Brian Lawless/PA Wire

Why were grades inflated to match last year’s levels?

Most of this year’s Leaving Cert students’ grades have been artificially inflated by exam authorities by an average of 7.5 per cent to bring them into line with record highs of recent years.

This, in turn, has boosted more than two-thirds (68 per cent) of students’ grades.

Why?

It follows a direction by Minister for Education Norma Foley that this year’s overall Leaving Cert exam results should be kept in line with record highs of recent years.

This is so students are not disadvantaged in the competition for college places again applicants from recent years. (In any given year, about a quarter of college applicants are presenting results from previous years).

Leaving Cert results 2024 - Figure 4
Photo The Irish Times

Keeping grades at a high level, however, has downsides.

Ms Foley has pledged to begin a “phased” reduction in Leaving Cert results from next year.

Preparing for start of the Junior Cycle exams in Marian College, Ballsbridge, Dublin. Photograph: Dara Mac Dónaill

Junior Cycle results: release date confirmed

All the focus is on Leaving Certs today - but a development for Junior Cycle students may get lost in all the noise.

The State Examinations Commission has confirmed that it intends to issue Junior Cycle results on Wednesday, 9 October, a week earlier than last year.

There has been criticism over the late release of results in recent years.

However, an increase in the supply of teachers working as examiners means authorities have been able to mark exams more quickly.

30/08/2021 - NEWS - CAO Website, Homepage, Leaving Certificate. Photograph Nick Bradshaw for The Irish Times

How will this year’s results affect CAO points next week?

Leaving Cert results 2024 - Figure 5
Photo The Irish Times

It’s the big question facing students: how will this year’s Leaving Cert results affect CAO points when college offers issue on Wednesday?

With this year’s grades on a par with last year, we can expect CAO points to at least remain at a high level.

Guidance counsellor Brian Mooney, however, says better maths results this year at higher level will lead to an “avalanche” of additional bonus points.

This, in turn, may put upward pressure on points in high-demand courses.

This is his take on this year’s results:

“Higher-level maths continues to deliver an avalanche of bonus CAO points for Leaving Cert students. Some 20,330 students sat higher level in 2024. Of these, almost all – 19,640 – secured 25 bonus CAO points. (The other 690 students did not because they scored a H7 or lower.) This means there are some 490,000-plus bonus CAO points added to applicants’ scores, which will inevitably be reflected in a continuation of high points requirements in next Wednesday college offers. Higher-level Irish students also continued to outperform most subjects with 94 per cent of them securing a H5 or higher.”

Leaving Cert results 2024 - Figure 6
Photo The Irish Times

File photograph: Eric Luke

Subject by subject: what’s up and what’s down?

In advance of the students’ results being issued their results, the State Examinations Commission has released a subject-by-subject breakdown of how students fared in each exam.

Peter McGuire has a detailed overview here.

In higher level maths, for example, H1s dropped significantly, from 18 per cent to 11 per cent. This year, however, the number of H1s is up to 13 per cent.

We’ve also compiled a chart, below, showing the proportion of top grades by subject area - and the trends over recent years.

A happy day for a Leaving Cert student at Rathdown School last year. Photograph: Jason Clarke

Results day: what we know so far

Thousands of students (and their parents) face a nervous wait before they can access today’s results online at 10am.

So, what do we know so far?

The State Examinations Commission has released a national breakdown of the results. They show most of this year’s Leaving Cert students’ grades have been artificially inflated to bring them into line with record highs of recent years.The Minister’s intervention means more than two-thirds (68 per cent) of students’ grades have been adjusted upwards. This is on foot of results across the board being increased by an average of 7.5%.Continuing with these levels of grades means Leaving Cert results are at record high levels for a fifth successive year, with knock-on consequences for CAO points.

The graph, below, gives a sense of how the proportion of top grades has increased dramatically since the pandemic and stayed at a high level since 2021.

Leaving Cert results 2024 - Figure 7
Photo The Irish Times

You can read more on this year’s results here.

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