'Twas a foggy night before Christmas...

Twin Cities white Christmas history

National Weather Service

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The Night Before Christmas - Figure 1
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'Twas the night before Christmas, with fog in the air,A dreary, still evening, with mild temps to spare.The streets were all damp, and the sky was overcast,As low clouds hung heavy, the night moving fast…

Overnight temperatures for Christmas Eve will drop only a few degrees into the 20s, with light south winds 5 to 10 mph. As temperatures drop below freezing, there is a potential for freezing fog into early Christmas morning.

The Night Before Christmas - Figure 2
Photo Minnesota Public Radio News

Lows for Tuesday night

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Areas of dense fog continue for parts of southwestern Minnesota with dense fog advisories.

Dense fog advisory

National Weather Service

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Dreaming of a white Christmas

Mild temperatures this week will lead to plenty of melting, but a white Christmas is still likely for much of the state. This is a historical look at which years the Minneapolis-St. Paul area experienced a white Christmas:

The Night Before Christmas - Figure 3
Photo Minnesota Public Radio News

White Christmas history

National Weather Service

Temperatures on Wednesday will warm into the lower to mid-30s, with upper 20s for northwestern Minnesota.

Highs on Wednesday

NOAA

Rain showers in December?

The next Pacific weather system is expected to begin south of the forecast area towards the end of the week. Current temperature trends suggest that this system will bring mostly rain.

The Night Before Christmas - Figure 4
Photo Minnesota Public Radio News

Forecast precipitation Friday morning through Sunday morning.

NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

Rainfall totals through Saturday are expected to range from one-quarter inch to about one-half inch.

Potential rainfall amounts

NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

As the system gradually moves out, colder air may filter in, bringing a mix of rain and snow to the Northland.

Potential snowfall amounts

NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

The Night Before Christmas - Figure 5
Photo Minnesota Public Radio News

Our temperatures continue to run 5-15 degrees above the seasonal average through the weekend with highs in the 30s and 40s.

Temperatures Wednesday through Saturday

NOAA via College of DuPage weather lab

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